I did suspect that the triumphalist pronouncements, and even the seemingly honest and forthright deep dive, were a little premature.

This is a key problem with LLM exuberance: it's very tempting to trade on decades of experience in software using LLMs, because one is tired of typing and manual figuring-out, it seems to work if you're competent, and the payoff is essentially immediate. The real bill comes in the mail much later.