Sigmoidal, not exponential. It would be insane to assume an exponential curve
in the absence of a stalling signal. it's better to assume exponential and work backwards than hope the next bottleneck is impossible.
this gets more nuanced because "the sigmoids won't save you": https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-sigmoids-wont-save-you
in the absence of a stalling signal. it's better to assume exponential and work backwards than hope the next bottleneck is impossible.