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adamcyesterday at 4:11 PM1 replyview on HN

No. The past year has substantially nudged things in the other direction.


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NoImmatureAdHomyesterday at 5:07 PM

I'd say it's tough to say.

On the one hand, one of the major nuclear powers is embroiled in a war in Europe. Which is extremely bad news and clearly makes the probability of nuclear war increase.

On the other hand, we're getting better and better at targeting, which means much smaller warheads can get the job done. We have little use for 50MT behemoths any more (excepting doomsday weapons).

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