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WarmWashyesterday at 7:10 PM10 repliesview on HN

China, in it's modern incarnation, and every living member of it's military, has never seen a single real battle. Nothing. No one has any rank that has bearing on any kind of combat. Just decades of self-congratulatory war games.

China has tons of weapons and resources. But it would remain to be seen if they can actually fight when every single person along the entire chain is a total day one rookie.


Replies

freehorseyesterday at 7:35 PM

> China, in it's modern incarnation, and every living member of it's military, has never seen a single real battle.

I wish people would take a short stop here and contemplate a bit on this sentence.

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nemothekidyesterday at 7:30 PM

I'm not sure that any of that actually matters. Wars are not Call of Duty. It's politically difficult to invest actual manpower in Iran and Unless China were to nuke Hawaii, an all out war with China would also immediately be politically unpopular. China, like Iran, wouldn't doesn't need to defeat the US, they just need to hold out long enough for the US economy to collapse, which would happen way faster if China is the opposition.

The only reason we don't have $6 gas right now is because of a ton of financially engineering. I don't know how anyone could convince the American public that $10 gas and war time rations is worth defending Taiwan.

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estearumyesterday at 7:13 PM

NATO exercises and, ya know, the war in Iran, seem to suggest there's limited applicability of the US's experience.

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rightbyteyesterday at 8:08 PM

In "actual fighting" the losses are such that the units are weakened not like leveling up experience.

I don't think soldiers survive any meaningful amount of combat to get experience in combat. Pooping without WC is what they get good at which you can do in exerciss too.

Logistics and support staff might get experience maybe ...

input_shyesterday at 7:22 PM

This isn't WW1, not a lot of experience is necessary to point a missile or a drone towards the target.

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rootsudoyesterday at 7:51 PM

Vs, the unities which has lost its engagement since.. the Vietnam or Korean war?

Don’t get me wrong, I’m pro-American all the way. I just am not sure which is better: to defer and not be in war or to be in war and lose due to economics vs brute firepower/manpower/superiority.

kfseyesterday at 8:23 PM

Didn't at least some living generals fight in Vietnam?

SmirkingRevengeyesterday at 8:40 PM

I think this comes out in the wash mostly.

While we're going to have lots of officers who've been to war for a while yet, turnover eventually evens the playing field.

The people who would be doing the actual fighting in a war today have never been to war.

And as we've seen in Ukraine, warfare is always evolving, making some subset of past war experience less valuable.

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close04yesterday at 7:48 PM

> China, in it's modern incarnation, and every living member of it's military, has never seen a single real battle. Nothing. No one has any rank that has bearing on any kind of combat. Just decades of self-congratulatory war games.

Ukraine wasn't really wearing the war crown either and they managed to redefine the face of war to the point where countries with trillion dollar militaries are taking notes.

Your jab isn't totally unwarranted, China like most countries has no battle tested military. But your correct premise suggests a conclusion which just isn't there. If I say "China hasn't lost a war in decades, while the US is successfully losing to an enemy that's been strangled from all sides for decades" the premise is true but the conclusion is still up for being written.

cumshitpissyesterday at 7:20 PM

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