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NiloCKtoday at 2:55 AM1 replyview on HN

Not so long ago, I was good enough for many coding tasks. But I found that things can change in a hurry.

Yes, a cheap and fast Opus4.6 can drive a lot of value in current context. But if we continue to craft bigger-and-bigger balls of mud, Opus 4.6 may end up hitting its conceptual ceiling and unable to contribute.

Winding the clock back on your statement gives:

> I'd gladly pay for a Claude Sonnet 3.5 in silicon and use it for 1-2 years.

Man, I dunno.


Replies

kennywinkertoday at 4:04 AM

Assuming moore's law like progress, which I'm 100% sure isn't going to happen - I think we're at the top of the S curve already. But assuming dramatically increased intelligence every year this is still the exact same position as anyone who bought a computer in the last 5 decades. Yet, people did very much buy computers.