How is this not true? Taking a Senior SWE @ ~$200K, even just the base salary cost / 2080 working hours is $100/hr. Fully loaded employer cost + accounting for non-coding time gets you to upper 100s easily.
Even for a junior making $100K, I have a hard time believe their time is worth less than $75/hr or so.
Edit: Fine, "Senior" is not "Average". But naive salary is not the true numerator.
Company time != Pay rate, if you're working somewhere that's publicly traded check out "revenue per employee" metrics sometime.
I hire contractors for a large enterprise in the US. The going rate is typically $85-$100/hr for a senior dev, depending on specialization. Lead-level maybe $120 for the right skill set.
Of course, the SWEs making that much (over 200k) are not representative of the broader field. That's the point.
Pay hits a ceiling, and that ceiling is moving lower regardless of experience. That has nothing to do with AI, but what the market will bear. Hiring counts of humans must increase no matter what. Moving some of the spend to AI reduces the risk of hiring less qualified employees they might have rejected a decade ago.
Wages at the top end are stagnating to subsidize this. That's undeniable.