alt Hacker News> Writing code is not hard. Writing correct code is.
Now add the time dimension - keeping code correct as the business and the people in it change.
That's how I explain to people that LLMs will not replace us developers.
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Most of the people who say LLMs will replace developers have never built and deployed a real app. I know someone working on an app that they were deploying and after "writing" thousands of lines of code with Codex, they needed help to deploy it despite getting pretty clear (IMO) instructions from the LLM. Later they were struggling to set up a test environment or add backups to the point that I was worried they might break production.
The few people who manage to write good quality production apps with AI are developers whether they like it or not and that number isn't high enough to obsolete existing developers.
Maintenance over time is 90% of the work anyways, you don't start a project from scratch every day
https://media.ccc.de/v/36c3-11241-from_managerial_feudalism_...
Timestamp is: 36:42-39:55
I believe Graeber perfectly predicts the problems, in 2019, with vibe coding creating immediate "value" from production, but failing to produce true value through maintaining the system (like one continually washes a cup to give it value over time).