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BenzeneDreamyesterday at 7:13 PM5 repliesview on HN

? It absolutely is a race. Whether thats a positive thing or not is debatable but every lab is definitely in a race. What prize do you win? Imagine a world where only one country has AGI/ASI. Or a world where Europe only gets access to frontier models 6 months later. Far from ideal.


Replies

ux266478yesterday at 7:19 PM

> What prize do you win? Imagine a world where only one country has AGI/ASI.

"Winning the race" doesn't give you that in any meaningful capacity. It gives you, at the absolute most, a temporary window where that's the case. See: nuclear weapons.

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expedited123today at 7:26 AM

> Imagine a world where only one country has AGI/ASI.

You've fallen for the hype. The only way these AI companies can justify their bullshit worth and burn of capital is by promising a magical AGI. It's just marketing and it is still unclear if LLM's will ever be profitable.

If they won't - then EU is doing the right thing laying low.

> Or a world where Europe only gets access to frontier models 6 months later.

What a calamity!

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tripledrytoday at 9:26 AM

> Imagine a world where only one country has AGI/ASI

My own bet is that this won't happen with the current race, but that's another discussion.

Anyways, bit of a doomer take but if I imagine a world with AGI/ASI, countries don't mean shit anymore. Humans are not the top dog anymore.

toasty228today at 10:18 AM

> Imagine a world where only one country has AGI/ASI

Who says the LLM race ends at an AGI/ASI finish line in the first place ?

vrganjyesterday at 7:39 PM

This presupposes AGI or ASI are a real, reachable thing. My read is they might be, but not as LLMs. Until there's a fundamental rearchitecture, I'm AGI-agnostic and given that view, it doesn't seem rational to bet the house on it.

We'll see.