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estearumtoday at 3:08 PM1 replyview on HN

Not really. It's the "making decisions based on best-available evidence is good, even if every once in a while it leads you astray."

You're more than welcome to read the evidence they use to create their policies. If you have evidence that is of higher quality than that which "the authorities" are using, then you should depend on that!

But... you almost certainly don't have higher quality evidence than they do. That's the fundamental problem.

If you think that you do, then you too could actually make a fuckton of money with that information. But again: you don't have superior information.

I don't think people even got it wrong. They got it correct with the information available, and they for the most part got it right even in retrospect.


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ifyoubuildittoday at 6:08 PM

I did read a lot of evidence available at the time. It's why I opted to skip the vaccine for myself given that I had already recovered shortly before the shots were available. That decision was very at odds with authoritative guidance at the time. You'd think I was a damn leper, yet that decision seems to have held up pretty well.

I also frequently tested before any gatherings, and avoided contact when I had any kinds of symptoms, test or not. I saw plenty of people figure they had gotten the shots so why not go out with the sniffles?

"Best information" and what was blasted out of the TV or considered "common sense" at the time I think have quite a bit of daylight between them.

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