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cmiles8today at 11:50 AM3 repliesview on HN

Its nice to see some backbone, but the challenge for Canada is that it’s broadly in a weak negotiating position here. Generally speaking Canadian companies need access to the US market a lot more than US companies need access to the Canadian market.


Replies

ricardobeattoday at 1:05 PM

One would think so, but is that really true? Some numbers I just got:

- the US imports 60-70% of its oil from Canada

- 100% of the natural gas

- 85% of energy imports

- 25% of Uranium

- 20% of all mineral imports, ahead of China

- the Great Lakes hold >80% of the USA's fresh water

- patrolling the almost 9000km border is mostly up to Canada

Despite the size disparities, they run close to a trade equilibrium: US exports $420B, imports $450B. There is a lot on the line for the US.

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softwaredougtoday at 12:17 PM

This is true somewhat, but keep in mind the 50% tariffs aren’t on all goods. They’re on like 5% of exports.

Plus when one side is an unreliable negotiator (the US) there’s not much rational behind continuing.

dennis_jeeves2today at 12:07 PM

>Canada is that it’s broadly in a weak negotiating position here.

That's an understatement. Hypothetically if Canada were isolated from the world, it would regress in the quality of life in 10 years. The most capable Canadians have moved out, mostly to the US. The average Canadian has unwarranted sense of nationalistic pride about them (compared to their neighbors).

Isolate US from the world, and assuming that the govt does not meddle too much with local businesses, in 10 years they will bounce back to being more self sufficient than it is now.

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