It's determinism, flexibility, and language.
To the LLM, the a skill input is deterministic, inflexible, and outputs natural language.
A REST API (not the REST itself, but modern output being JSON primitives) outputs are deterministic, flexible, but doesn't output natural language.
An MCP as an input is deterministic, flexible, outputs natural language.
Then we ask the same question on whether the LLM gets back a response that is deterministic. Skills output are not deterministic, it requires LLM to generate tokens to take action. It may or may not take the specific actions instructed by the skill.
So, Skills + REST API = MCP only if you can deterministically call on the REST API.
In other words:
* /skill may or may not call on the instructed action
* /tool (or @tool) will guarantee the action is taken
This is overgeneralizing and we need to talk about harness-specific features like hooks (which adds a deterministic action to skill usage).