The current models are not close to approaching the limit of compression for intelligence. They aren’t even focused on it like Chinese labs are. The training of Qwen’s 27B parameter model showed that by structuring model training from fundamentals to more difficult topics they were able to drastically reduce the number of parameters needed.
The ‘frontier’ models rely on scale to achieve their results but that’s not the only approach. Eventually we will hit up against the fundamental limits but we are not close with Sol and Mythos.
Yes they are approaching the limits, try asking smaller models niche questions about almost anything, they hallucinate massively because you cannot simply pack in all the raw knowledge from a massive frontier model into something that’s quantified down to 20GB etc.
It breaks fundamental laws of information theory. It’s like saying you can extract 100 joules of energy from 10 joules of energy source. Not possible.