alt Hacker NewsWhen you say a long way off, how far are you thinking, especially with self improvement on the horizon?
My bet is 3 or 4 years before the rocket really takes off, and then we start seeing capabilities improve incredibly quickly.
When you say a long way off, how far are you thinking, especially with self improvement on the horizon?
My bet is 3 or 4 years before the rocket really takes off, and then we start seeing capabilities improve incredibly quickly.
There's zero reason to believe that self improvement is on the horizon. What we have now is far too stupid and unreliable to be plausibly capable of improving itself.