What's your opinion of the claim that antidepressants have small impact on people with mild to moderate depression, but significantly more impact on people with severe depression [1]?
I ask as a nonexpert because this is a view I've read a few times from people I trust more than most, and I know two people who suffered from severe depression who credited SSRIs for getting them through.
Honestly, every time I look into if the "treatment by severity effect" is clearly established, I feel I come away only able to shrug. It is at least plausible, but hasn't been clearly established or refuted.
What does seem clear to me is that the whole cost-benefit considerations change in favor of anti-depressants when the depression is severe. I wouldn't say anti-depressants should be first-line treatments for ordinary depression, but for severe depression, I think they are a very reasonable first-line option.
Sure, they still might not help, but the costs / harms don't seem so bad compared to the potential costs / harms of leaving the severe major depression untreated, and the other options look all pretty terrible here too.
Wait, I finally found a paper that properly presents the results in a way that lets you decide for yourself! See figure 2 here: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9344377/#f2, you want to focus on the second plot with the dotted and dashed lines.
Basically, both placebo and drugs can have huge responses, but basically, for severe depression, yes, it looks like the drug is more likely to have a large positive effect than the placebo is likely to have a large positive effect.
There are still a lot of limitations, main one being that study criteria generating the data for this would exclude most cases of really high severity actually seen in practice. Also "blinding" is mostly BS in these kinds of studies, and antidepressants have massive, noticeable effects, so the proper comparison is really an active placebo, and we really can't be sure the whole apparent antidepressant effect is basically just "woah, I can really feel this doing shit", basically, at some level, and this is still bad because the placebo vs. drug difference is still super tiny and below what we would consider typical minimal clinically important differences.
So still hard to say. But, yeah, there is a good chance the drugs are more effective in severe cases, and, technically, you should definitely treat in a severe case.