alt Hacker News> He gives the example of Ray Kurzweil, who is similarly catastrophically wrong about everything
Is he, though? It seems to me that a lot of his predictions were surprisingly close to the mark, especially given how long ago they were made.
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nl • today at 12:05 AM
Luu's piece linked his analysis! Kurzweil scores 7% accuracy.
If you scroll to the appendix he grades individual predictions.
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I'm convinced all of Kurzweil's predictions through the years can be simplified as (and originate from) "whatever least-implausible dream scenario allows a man of Ray Kurzweil's exact age and health to barely avoid the hitherto-universal icy grip of mortality."