If you’re talking some nonsense, silly singularity… than whatever, don’t care.
But if you’re asking when a model has a sustainable general intelligence, for me, it’s pretty easy…
When it makes financial sense to run it 24 hours a day.
What does it mean to run a model 24 hours a day?
Aren't we way way past that already? QPS to any of the frontier models for a given point in time is most likely (far) greater than zero.
For whom? That is a fantastically ill-defined test. Everyone here is comfortable throwing around this or that is or isn't AGI which is fun because, at the same time, nobody seems to have a testable definition.
It makes either position pointless to argue.
I mean the laundromat runs the machines pretty much 24 hours a day but a washing machine is not AGI.
Directly - something can be useful without being AGI.
I can have Astra run a large-scale infrastructure migration 24/7 (much of the time waiting for results), completing it in weeks or even months faster than I could before agentic AI.