2027. I've been saying since 2022 it's going to be a wild year because it often takes at least 5 years for tech to mature to the point where society at large feels the impact of it. I remember when email viruses became a thing and made global headlines like the love bug. My bet is next year it happens with an AI worm.

Ok, but you still need huge amounts of compute to run these swarms. And only labs + nation states have access to such compute now and for the foreseeable future, so I predict that incidents like this will continue to originate from the labs, not ordinary people.