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panarkytoday at 3:35 AM2 repliesview on HN

>> I don’t understand all the comments assuming that RSI is the real threat here

> leaked private data, loss of life

This smells like more of a money move than a safety move.

Amodei is proposing to form a cartel of American frontier labs.

They all agree to shift compute away from cash-burning research and training toward cash-generating inference.

Then tacitly agree not to compete on price.

They'll install independent auditors inside each company to ensure nobody cheats.

And back it up with government regulation or diktat to punish defectors from the cartel.

Then they'll lock out non-American labs with export controls and regulations on open-weights models to funnel global inference tokens through their cartel.

It wouldn't be the first time a tech oligopoly used "safety" as the pretext to establish a government-sanctioned cartel.

Railroads and airlines ran this same playbook.


Replies

SV_BubbleTimetoday at 5:13 AM

Why do you think China is release free and open models?

To undercut the cartel before it has a grasp on anything. This is a well known strategy of undercut until you are the majority that China has used multiple times (steel and aluminum for one).

eueejtoday at 4:08 AM

Yup it’s tacit collusion.

I would’ve thought If they had AGI they could come up with a 10d chess move.

Nope.

Imagine how stupid you gotta be to believe their nonsense.

The reality is it doesn’t matter what they do. China is always one step behind and will continue its open product strategy approach.