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machomasteryesterday at 10:57 PM1 replyview on HN

The analogy makes little sense. The USA was not in front of the USSR and Sputnik merely showed that. It is at this point that the Americans woke up, put a lot of effort and finally were able to surpass the Soviets during the Apollo missions.

China was never ahead of the USA in AI. So perhaps a more proper analogy is the Moon landing. In real history the side that lost the race never got its mojo back...


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verdvermyesterday at 11:02 PM

I'm looking forward, towards the future, when I use "passing ... we need", need being key here as it implies something we don't yet have

I expect this to happen within 12-18 months, the differentiation has shrunk, many models are now sufficiently capable for most tasks

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