alt Hacker NewsIs there anyone who has not been badly wrong? I've been reading these debates for years and I don't think I've seen anybody pick the right spot on the bearish to bullish spectrum. The only thing I've become more certain of in this time has been uncertainty.
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thefourthchime • yesterday at 6:22 PM
In my selective memory, I've been right about everything.
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enraged_camel • yesterday at 6:31 PM
>> Is there anyone who has not been badly wrong?
Being wrong, even badly wrong, is fine, so long as one adjusts their beliefs accordingly. LeCun has not.
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I apply more of a penalty to people who are confidently wrong, and who don't, In retrospect, notice that they were wrong and analyze why they got it wrong . LeCun is very confident and doesn't seem to have done much introspection.