Unless you think that AI will quickly hit a wall (which seems odd considering that only a few years ago the best models had trouble doing basic math or counting the number of Rs in "strawberry"), I don't see how that's reassuring. The models will only get cheaper and more capable over time. It seems quite likely that at some point (probably before I hit retirement age) they'll be able to fully replace me at my job.

Is there any specific cognitive task that you are willing to bet that AIs won't be able to accomplish in the next 5 years? Because if not, I'm not sure we're disagreeing about predictions.

It has limitations for sure, I just don't expect those limitations to last. What probability would you put on the limitations being overcome in the next 5 years?