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ralphington • today at 2:42 PM • 3 replies • view on HN

Sorry, but your reasoning is incomplete. They could have bet millions on the negative result for each of the candidates that were listed. You aren't forced to bet on a winner, you can instead bet on everybody to lose.


Replies

amelius • today at 7:15 PM

I hope it gets banned by the next administration.

The_Blade • today at 5:37 PM

this seems a bit odd to me (change the link to 1 day)

https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2026-1...

Yulia Navalnaya (widow of Alexei Navalny) had a ton of play, and Navi Pillay didn't even have a market?

edit: and what dang just added about the US - ICC sanctions

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teiferer • today at 9:39 PM

It would be funny to have such a prize finance itself by doing this. Openly. Game theory working over time on that one.