> Decision models have the potential to have an even larger impact on the Real World than LLMs have to this point
Why?
If youre the one or have spoken to someone implementing "AI solutions" inside large companies recently, a decent chunk of it is soft policy enforcement with very basic context. They moved from gemini 2.5 flash lite type models to jev. Which is also why I found the price comparisons to "GPT Astra" on Twitter rather funny.
A major limitation of directly using "System 1 decision models" (a.k.a., logistic regression, and related uncalibrated classifiers over the output/logit space) in enterprise settings (or other high-stakes settings) is that such estimators are not reliable estimators of the predictive uncertainty in the presence of covariate shifts, and such estimators also lack a means of instance-wise data attribution (i.e., interpretability-by-exemplar), so they're not the ideal estimator for verification, routing, uncertainty over retrieval and tool-calls, etc.
For decision-making with neural networks, we instead need the older idea of estimators of the predictive uncertainty with constraints in the feature-representation space (over training/support of the estimator), as with Similarity-Distance-Magnitude estimators: https://pypi.org/project/reexpress-sdm/