From my understanding of how LLMs work, I'd argue thinking will become the most valuable attribute of humans (as it has been for some time). LLMs will inevitably surpass humans at functions that we know how to do, and likely through cross-domain knowledge and connecting disparate concepts will surpass us at many functions. But LLMs haven't shown they are capable of truly novel thinking, because it's next token prediction, which is inherently based on existing sources.
I think we'll see a shift towards arts, creativity, research, etc. where true novel creation and an understanding of the human experience exists at a premium.
> which is inherently based on existing sources
Look at how compute share of labs is moving to RL and maybe reconsider this prerequisite to your argument.
I see your point itll be very jagged but llms are definitely very innovative. See the recent .ath proofs etc.
But i agree thinking will remain important. As my grandpa put it if something breaks who'll go and fix it ?
You think the thinking of human brains isn't based on existing sources? Unless you believe in dualism and the divine spark of inspiration, it is.
Trivial to prove false: ask a LLM to invent 10 new words. Then google them, most will not have any result.
> My favorite is Krezmoria - a word for missing a future you haven't experienced.
Quite often I feel like my mind is pretty much doing next token prediction also. Unfortunately.