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efficax • yesterday at 4:15 PM • 5 replies • view on HN

but they have slowed down. the delta in capability between model releases now is smaller than ever before and i expect it to continue to diminish until we reach some kind of asymptotic maximum, which hopefully will mean turn towards optimization and local model improvements. The current frontier models running at 10x the tok/s would be incredible for my use cases


Replies

CuriouslyC • yesterday at 5:08 PM

The delta isn't really slower, we're just unlocking capability bundles in batches. The capabilities bundles you care about might have mostly been unlocked already, and just need refinement, which is coming slower than the initial capabilities came, but don't discount the breadth of advances being made across all possible tasks.

alecst • yesterday at 4:20 PM

We're not living in the same universe. Look at capability year-over-year. The asymptotic maximum is wishful thinking. Someone needs to step in before this gets wildly out of control.

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cma • yesterday at 4:25 PM

A little over a year ago they were winning their first gold in an elite high school math competition. Have you not seen what they are doing in math now?

llmslave • yesterday at 4:24 PM

opus 5.5 is a step change, you arent using the models enough if you think there is a slowdown

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david-gpu • yesterday at 4:25 PM

Models just solved a Millennium price and you think their progress is slowing down? I will concede that their capabilities vary a lot from one field to another, but still.