I don't see how its output possibilities could be infinite given a finite set of data. Taken to the extreme if you give an LLM only a single piece of information then that is going to be the only thing it can produce. Given it two pieces of information and maybe it can produce every combination of those two things. Given all of the worlds knowledge I'm sure its possible outputs are incomprehensibly large, but still not infinite. Then having its outputs match a set of really specific instructions is going to be a small subset of that.
Sure, a given LLM can only produce so much (though it might be a lot), and then you'll need fresh inputs. But you contend that those have to be human, while I am arguing that they could be
- random,
- from the environment,
- from other AIs.
That increases the space considerably.
In particular, note that your argument also applies to humans: A human, being finite, can only produce finitely many things. But you add other humans, the environment, and pure chance to the mix, and it'll be pretty infinite for all practical purposes.
Well humans do that and you expect them to continue to do that - why can't AI models do it as well?
There are two reasons:
1. LLMs aren't run deterministically - they use a bit of noise to improve the output. So even with the exact same input you're going to get a whole distribution of outputs.
2. Feedback from the environment. LLMs (and humans!) work best when they can test ideas. That's why coding agents work so well. If you ask an agent 1000 times to just think of a compression algorithm, it'll probably spit out very samey answers just like a human would. If you give it a test corpus and let it try out different things it will absolutely be able to come up with novel ideas.
The set of data will increase as it outputs
I don't think AI will continue growing infinitely either, but maybe "incomprehensibly large" is large enough to solve all the math problems.
How is this different from human brains being made up of a finite number of neurons in a finite number of configurations? I know very little about LLMs and nothing about neurology and maybe you can explain to me why one is so much more powerful than the other.