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ShinyLeftPad • today at 5:27 PM • 0 replies • view on HN

I read the article and that's why i wrote my comment.

For Tice they show a post with 10k views from october 12 and post with 20k views from october 8. There is also post from october 9 which obviously went viral and has hundreds of thousands views, but that's not itself proof because there's a always variability from the algorithm.

Reshare counts are more interesting, 700 for each of oct 8-9 posts but 50 for each of oct 12 posts, that is less likely if we are talking about just the network effects.

anyway we all know russian bots exist. They basically got trump elected after dorsey sold to musk and musk let them run amok. But this is not hard statistics. if they fixed a time period (like, in 3 days posts used to get N engagement avg, now in 3 days posts get M engagement avg) then it could be actual statistics. and they really need to stress reshare counts.