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NetMageSCW • last Friday at 11:40 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

F9 reliability is 99.58%. The current version is at 99.84% and the last 2 years over more than 250 launches is at 100%.


Replies

FabHK • yesterday at 8:14 AM

Right, so 0.42% and 0.16% failure rate, respectively.

In the US alone, people make some 600m trips a day, so that "reliability" would result in about 2.5m to 1m failures a day.

teiferer • yesterday at 6:34 AM

> F9 reliability is 99.58%.

Ok. 0.5% of all cars exploding still doesn't sound reassuring.

> the last 2 years over more than 250 launches is at 100%.

Sure, if we tune the statistics such that we only look at those that didn't fail, then nothing failed. I love magic tricks!