I’d be interested in a Bayesian analysis of how they arrive at the degree of certainty that their hypothesized solution is in fact the correct one. Like even if it’s 99.999999% likely or some such, I’d still like to see the math at how they arrive at that. Edit: Since in crypto solutions there’s always this question of hamming distance. PS. Amazing I can get downvoted already, minutes in, for posing a show-me type comment, (presumably just for making noise in face of big crypto brand names like Anthropic & NSA), without substantiation for the downvote; thanks HN community for displaying your spots. Even if a Bayesian analysis would be trivial in the case at hand, the effort would be helpful at informing similar efforts entailing comparatively greater uncertainty.