There is mixed evidence on the impact of AI on developer jobs, but on the balance it seems that to the extent AI is impacting dev jobs, it is mostly the junior roles that are being affected.

There is even some evidence that suggests senior roles are more in demand (and getting correspondingly higher pay too) which gels with the common observation that senior workers are more effective at managing the AI which is doing the work of (and hence displacing) junior workers.

Asking a chatbot or Google AI overviews should surface relevant studies.

> Jevons paradox

Thanks! I've heard numerous examples of this. E.g. paint rollers, and later paint sprayers, made painting so much more efficient and cheaper that people wanted their houses and apartments painted more often, ultimately increasing house painter employment. But I didn't realize the phenomenon had a name.

Exactly. At least in my part of the world (hardware) we are hiring more software folks these days and fewer pure hardware