Claude/codex has made the stickiness much less of a problem. We just say "no new repos in GitHub" and then put agents on refactoring the existing repos for GitLab compatibility.

Forgejo, and Gitea are decent alternatives if you want to fully move off Github! If you are hoping to move away from only Github Actions, I've been working on a ~drop-in replacement for their control-plane + runner for the past few months. Each each job runs in a cross-platform vm so you can run your ci locally and update your checks. It's still beta, so I certainly wouldnt use it in prod just yet, but it's great if you want to run some of your CI locally. it allows me to extend it where possible to introduce some new features like JIT pipelines, improve performance or security. https://github.com/preloopdev/preloop if anyone's curious!

The alternative is, I’m guessing, probably any other hosted git + CI/CD service that doesn’t offer a free tier to zillions of users (human and LLM alike) so that their computing capacity isn’t in a constant arms race with growth.

What makes it sticky? I just don't see it. The declarative Github Actions manifests?

I imagine very few people use the wiki, because it's so subpar.

The issues are a problem, but this is why I always thought issues should be a core part of the Git repo, checked into it, sort of how Fossil does it. And so should the wiki, for that matter.

Absolutely anything? GitHub slowly became a standard through market share. Concourse CI is much better, in fact nearly anything is better than GitHub as it doesn't have first class container support.

Self-hosted $whatever, managed your way. CI/CD doesn't have to be dog-slow or ever go down when you need it, only when you do your upgrades yourself, as god intended it.

I personally use Forgejo + their built-in Actions stuff (mostly GitHub compatible), have one old Linux desktop as a server which runs Linux + Windows runners, one Mac Mini for macOS/iOS builds, using NixOS so I don't have to remember how things work, and it just keeps running 24/7, always there when I need it.

See, my main issue is with Actions. If that breaks, there's little alternative for the more complex flows. Minor infrastructure changes could be done manually through AWS, but complex deployments would have to be replaced. That's a big task even with AI.

The pull request system and related machinery is useful, but Gitlab and the ilk can do the same. Even self-hosted solutions like Gitea. But I don't particularly have a problem with that living in Github. If there's an outage, break glass, force push to main.

The actual Git repository hosting part is trivial. If that breaks, Git is distributed anyways, push and pull to any random remote storage. All you need is SSH. The main headache is that automations would break as they are usually hard-coded to a given origin. That is solvable in a pinch, and we have setup mirrors in the past.

It really depends on your use-case and how much you are tied to them (Github authentication?)

swarmfile was built to deal with this type of problem