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juleiie • yesterday at 8:30 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

Shovels and gold aren’t the problem, humans are the problem

either AI achieves hyper-efficiency and triggers systematic economic demand destruction due to unemployment, or it underperforms and sparks a massive tech-sector asset bubble burst

If AI is as good as valuations - it crashes. If AI isn’t as good, it crashes. all eggs in one basket economy.

Every future leads to a massive financial shitstorm

AI is priced in as a technology to end all markets. The last bull market you will ever see.

It’s a miracle markets didn’t notice this “damned if you succeed damned if you don’t” type of inevitable checkmate

I have been building a bunker


Replies

omgwtfbyobbq • yesterday at 9:32 PM

It's possible. If goog's AI overview is accurate, it seems somewhat similar to speculative euphoria seen in the past (eg companies involved in electricity prior to the great depression). It's larger (currently 35% for AI versus 25% for electric/related cos), I'm guessing because of more credit. At the same time, the housing component of the market prior to the GFC was about 23%, and it wasn't as economically damaging as the GD, so hopefully the AI bubble unwinding won't be as bad.

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fasterik • yesterday at 9:30 PM

[dead]