Tbh my day job is now bogged down with security fixes for bugs found by AI. I guess that's a productivity gain by some measure? Sure we're fixing lots of problems. Problems we were blissfully unaware of before (and arguably were not problems, if no human could find them).

Meanwhile, at least half of the engineers have been pulled off other projects to work on, well, anything that has the veneer of AI attached to it. So we've lost half of the workforce to AI. But sure, the 25% of engineer hours still working on core product have gotten 40% more productive! (Actual coding, 2-3x, but that was never the majority of the work.)

What is the long term steady state here? Not sure if there even is one. But I've always spit balled that my job would be 90% less effort if all humans were good faith actors (no need to worry about privacy and security). Just ditching those two considerations is a 10x multiplier. So conversely, if the bad actors are empowered 10x by these tools, instead of 10% of my job being actual functionality, maybe 1% can be. I need the (promised) 10x boost of ai just to get back to the historical base case.

Perhaps the people seeing massive productivity gains are ones who never bothered with security to begin with (ahem Sony).