>We've only had access to models good enough to majorly accelerate code writing since early-2026. I feel like we're in the very beginnings of the first part of this wave.

The people talking about "increased output" ­— do you have any proofs for these words? I'm working in IT — I don't see any radical productivity growth. Yes, you can doo hello world 4 times faster now — but even then when you need to polish it the speed of development stabilizes near baseline real quick.

The early 2026 research shows only modest improvement in productivity: https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/10.1287/mnsc.2025.00535