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jeffbee • today at 1:21 AM • 1 reply • view on HN

Polymarket isn't binary so you are understating how wrong they were. Polymaket gives outcomes as percentage odds and less than 12 hours ago they had Bolsonaro by 5-to-1.


Replies

cowlevel • today at 2:07 AM

They resolve as binary. Until they resolve it's a percentage chance of the eventual resolution.