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marsten • yesterday at 6:30 PM • 1 reply • view on HN

In many ways investing in a very late IPO like SpaceX, Anthropic, or OpenAI is the worst of all worlds for the public investor.

On the one hand you'll never see a 100x return – that's been captured by private equity. But there's still a lot of long-term risk because these companies haven't proven they can deliver free cash flow to justify their valuations. Investing in SpaceX or Anthropic at $1T valuation is very different from investing in Apple or Nvidia.


Replies

metrix • yesterday at 7:30 PM

And think about it.. Because they're so large, Index funds are buying at most 1 year after going public.

The average investor has been lulled into feeling the index is riskless.

I suggest everyone to find a video online by their choice of podcaster interviewing Mike Green to learn more

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