> It's going to be funny when AI soon costs 4x or more than it does now

What exactly will cause that? Hardware costs are (generally) going down, and open weight models are getting smarter. The subsidised subscription prices will go away, sure, but I don't see the average token getting more expensive.

I also hope that rising costs return software dev to an elite, lucrative career. I’m not making my 10 years plan based on that theory, though.

Watch what the open weight models can do. Once they can manage your codebase, you’re safe from gouging.