Maybe you are right in some non-zero way, but there are still some bits to consider:

Windows laptops have been majority touch screen for a long time, so in theory this touch experience could have pushed out the traditional windows experience more. With the exception of the repressed memories of Windows 8, it just hasn’t happened. Despite most Windows laptops coming with touch screens, the interface is very much mouse and keyboard oriented.

But also, Apple still can’t make Mac mini or Mac Studio users use a touch screen.

In theory the iMac could gain a touch screen, the Studio Display could gain one, but I think that’s very fundamentally different ergonomic situation than a laptop.

When I’m at a desk like a coffee shop I can rest my arm on the table and scroll the browser with my thumb at the lowest part of the screen very easily on a laptop. A desktop computer screen is a lot different than that, usually sitting higher and further away, so I still think every desktop Apple sells will stick with non-touch for the foreseeable future.

Perhaps the strongest indicator is just that Apple has Microsoft as a case study. Everyone saw what happened with Windows 8 and knows not to repeat that sort of debacle.

Finally, I have to imagine that software development tools are much better now where it’s easier to make dynamic interfaces where user preference can rule the day.