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jmyeet • yesterday at 8:30 PM • 5 replies • view on HN

This is why I laugh every time somebody seriously suggests there's going to be a war with China because the West would collapse without Chinese exports. It's just not going to happen.

The problem with outsourcing all your manufacturing so you can mildly increase profits and destroy any organized labor is that whoever you outsourced it to holds you hostage.

Any talk of this is just propaganda to sell weapons and increase the "defense" budget.

So gallium is a byproduct of bauxite mining but requires some sophistication. China produces 60% of the world's aluminum. India is the second largest producer but doesn't have the infrastructure to extract gallium. That will probably change. But it is a sophisticated process so you need an entire supply chain for that too. China has that. India does not (currently).

But India would avoid the geopolitical issues of being dependent on China or Russia.


Replies

Blackthorn • today at 2:03 AM

> This is why I laugh every time somebody seriously suggests there's going to be a war with China because the West would collapse without Chinese exports. It's just not going to happen.

> The problem with outsourcing all your manufacturing

Not having a war is a good thing, not a problem.

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mullingitover • yesterday at 9:21 PM

> and destroy any organized labor

Hilariously not any organized labor, just the local group. The largest organized labor group in the history of the world is alive and well, and is headquartered in Beijing.

This was basically just a case of kicking the can down the road really hard. The can is still there, waiting for you, and you are now completely dependent on it (oh and it has nuclear weapons).

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bawolff • today at 4:05 AM

> This is why I laugh every time somebody seriously suggests there's going to be a war with China because the West would collapse without Chinese exports. It's just not going to happen.

Sounds like all the more reason for china to start a war.

Just having one side dependent isn't going to stop war.

BobbyTables2 • today at 4:14 AM

Would it? India has some relations with Russia….

EA-3167 • yesterday at 9:17 PM

> This is why I laugh every time somebody seriously suggests there's going to be a war with China because the West would collapse without Chinese exports. It's just not going to happen.

This is almost the exact same argument that was used to justify economic cooperation with Russia, they’d never start a war in Europe because their economy would collapse!

Ooos.

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