logoalt Hacker News

mbgerring • today at 4:00 PM • 7 replies • view on HN

These layoffs are happening because the entire tech industry is sinking all of its free cash into AI capex. H1B abuse and offshoring have both existed for decades, and neither are the proximate cause for these layoffs. If you’re blaming immigrants for this, you are either doing so in bad faith, or you are embarrassingly gullible.


Replies

lnkdinsuxs • today at 4:42 PM

> H1B abuse and offshoring have both existed for decades, and neither are the proximate cause for these layoffs

I agree that the H1B train is a red herring but I explained in my comment how AI has enabled mediocre talent to become more effective. Effective enough where they are "good enough" for what most companies need.

One of the reasons why offshoring was difficult was that asynchronous work wasn't the normal, so what a lot of companies would do is give the uninteresting pieces to the offshored teams.

That's taken a 180 in 2026. Google, OpenAI, Meta are building core infrastructure and software out of India. They don't even have to pay H1B rates.

Tech was already moving towards asynchronous working, expedited post COVID but AI just exponentially accelerated asynchronous work. Bulk of the software in 2026 has been written, reviewed and tested by AI (whether the HN crowd likes it or agrees with the practice, or not). All asynchronously.

These two factors have come together where the average tech worker out of SF is not longer very valuable - companies are just hiring equally talented workers out of Austin or Vietnam, for way cheaper, assisted by token spend.

The highly skilled will continue to get hired but the median worker out of San Francisco is being replaced

➕ show 4 replies
srj • today at 6:04 PM

Off-shoring has definitely been a factor in layoffs over the past few years. It came back pretty strong around 2023-2025. I agree that any new cuts will likely be due to AI. Hiring has more or less ground to a halt regardless of location now.

sam1r • today at 5:38 PM

This is correct, Google/FAANG can no longer keep all the H1B employees they had housed under there umbrella for 10+ years.

They are not allowed to sink their free cash into R&D and not get heavily taxed for it anymore. Wouldn't the same apply to AI capex?

cucumber3732842 • today at 5:45 PM

>H1B abuse and offshoring have both existed for decades, and neither are the proximate cause for these layoffs.

They were tolerated by the domestic workforce because times were good. Times are no longer good, so they're no longer tolerated.

You see this sort of pattern in all sorts of issues, not just H1Bs and tech.

tayo42 • today at 5:56 PM

Previous decades didn't do remotely work as well as we are now. Also South America is a cheap option now. Language is less of an issue and more culturaly similar to the us

sheikhnbake • today at 4:33 PM

Give them some credit, they can be both

bigstrat2003 • today at 6:30 PM

You could (and should) have made this point without the personal attacks. Something like "if you're blaming immigrants for this, you are greatly mistaken".