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asdff • today at 6:33 AM • 1 reply • view on HN

How can they estimate the existence of a vulnerability that has not been discovered and documented? The hubris to assume zero latent factors!


Replies

BoppreH • today at 1:07 PM

From what I understand, biologists have the same problem when estimating the number of undiscovered species. One technique is to look at very popular, well studied biomes, and extrapolate the results to less studied biomes. Or ask niche specialists to guess different groups of species and add up the results, which is usually better than trying to estimate the population as a whole.

The errors bars will be huge, but it's better than "zero or more".