> Hardware hasn't been improving at a rapid rate
Yes it has. GPUs and consumer hardware today is much faster than it was 5 years ago and it will be much faster again in 5 years.
> and clearly these companies are losing money and burning investor cash at a ridiculous rate
As every startup should.
The inference is not losing money. I don’t know if you missed it, but it was revealed a while ago that they’re actually making decent money on inference.
So they will stop training new models? Also to refinance their gigantic debt (non-cancelable commitments) they will NEED to make more profit.