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Grombobulous • today at 12:08 PM • 2 replies • view on HN

The 10-year treasury yield is about 5%, national average 30-year fixed home mortgage is about 7.2%.

In that context I don’t think I’d describe 10% as “high risk.”


Replies

javcasas • today at 1:21 PM

Well, this website https://usinterestrates.com/corporate-bond-yields says that currently, B-grade bonds go at around 8.5%. So bonds paying 10% would be below B, pretty much in junk bond territory https://www.investopedia.com/terms/j/junkbond.asp .

So maybe it's not high risk enough for you, but it is definitely high risk enough for the market.

But the best approach is just comparing rates. Go to https://archive.epa.gov/epawaste/nonhaz/municipal/web/pdf/bo... , and you will see a huge list of companies whose bonds are classified by armies of analysts as "less risky" than these 10% Anthropic bonds. Is Anthropic less risky than AT&T, or BP, or Firestone Tire & Rubber Co? The market says "no".

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blini-kot • today at 1:53 PM

and you'd be thus mistaken

currently US long term bonds have very low yield and are being issued less as usual buyers move to gold/stock -- trust in US gov. has eroded especially in fiscal matters. The budget keeps growing, interest rates are still too low to combat inflation and debt is ever-expanding, without drastic measures taken to stabilize the situation: thus, high bond yield - we pay you premium to have at least someone buy it due to trustworthiness not being the sole attractor anymore