alt Hacker NewsSo, I understand this is getting priced in to some degree, but I just don't see how any of this will change the fundamental core business value of NVIDIA.
Even if they have to pay a fine or increased regulatory scrutiny. At this point NVIDIA is more like SHELL(10 years ago maybe/during oil spill scandal) than a tech company. Its going to keep printing money with its chips.
So, I guess I'll timestamp my prediction that now is a good time to buy NVIDIA stock.
Replies
I think the biggest problem is the way Huang was creating demand by orchestrating the financing of the entire tech industry. The CFO in charge can handle the contract details, but do they have the strategic chops and relationships to keep doing that?
And it was all high risk. It may be only a once in a generation founder who wants to orchestrate that risk.
And again, no one was expecting NVIDIA to stay flat, massive growth was priced in.
>, but I just don't see how any of this will change the fundamental core business value of NVIDIA. [...] Its going to keep printing money with its chips.
The key is that NVIDIA is in a fast-changing technology sector and that means the core business requires NVIDIA to keep innovating new and better products that beat the competition. Having a company continuously adapt and iterate future products requires a visionary leader that pushes the company to stay on the cutting edge. Competitors and alternative products like Google TPU, Amazon Trainium, AMD, Cerebrus, etc are not standing still; they're innovating too.
Many shareholders (including employees with RSU stock) are worried that NVIDIA without Jensen puts them in a weaker position for the future unless they can find someone with equivalent influence and vision.
Intel was once on top of the world with CEO Andy Grove running things. But then the followup CEOs didn't keep Intel at the cutting edge and they lost market leadership to TSMC, AMD, and Apple Silicon in various areas. The world changes and Intel didn't adapt fast enough.
Sort of agree but he did go around and spoke how export controls to China have no effect, and then he's in bed with a foreign asset, so lots of geopolitical stuff in there.
Plus whole lot of people waiting for that signal that the "AI bubble " is about to burst. No bubble will be bursting as a cause of this.
They'll be fine for a few years with a talking donkey running the place because they have a roadmap. And then when the situation on the ground has changed and the future is ambiguous, they will nosedive like SGI did. My money is on Huawei now. Way to go America! You've actually outdumbed the CEO's poor choices of mistresses.
[dead]
“some fines” could be a very big deal. Sanctions laws have teeth.
How much of Nvidia’s revenue came from infringing sales to china? If so, that revenue is probably going to disappear as now they will have to really be serious about export controls or face much greater pain. Some estimates I’ve seen is 30% of their revenue perhaps disappearing overnight!