alt Hacker NewsHN has been talking about a crash for almost as long as Dario has been saying white collar jobs will be gone in 6 months and Sam has been saying they’re 6 months away from AGI.
At this point we may literally get commercial nuclear fusion power (which has been “30 years away” for the last 60 years) before any of the other things happen.
Yeah it's pretty odd for me -- I was thoroughly convinced post-QE (~2009-2011) that we were just putting off the inevitable market downturn inherent to capitalism. It was simple and clear: debt was skyrocketing, the underlying economy wasn't changing noticeably other than the arrival of gig workers, and Wallstreet was more greedy and speculative than ever before.
Luckily/sadly, it seems there are more things in heaven and earth than are dreamt of in my media... and all that was pre singularity.
Oh huh just noticed that bit of your post. Uhh I have news you might not like: they announced AGI months ago. You should check it out. It's pretty wild.