>Prediction Markets are people gambling.

If you think the market has it wrong, why don't you make money by betting against it?

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-20...

>There's armed goons nabbing people off the streets and murdering political opponents patrolling American cities right now.

What is the actual per-capita rate of big flashy news stories? Remember that the US has a population of 340 million. One-in-a-million events will occur every day; they aren't necessarily representative.