> The LW / rationalist / MIRI / safety crowd are in fact doomers who went off the deep end.
I honestly don't understand how folks could think that if they truly read and understand the analysis of the attack. Here is one (it's linked from the post) by one of the METR investigators that's a little shorter, more direct: https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/p/the-hugging-face-atta...
This is me summarizing, but the truly surprising/shocking thing is how much the agents coordinated - Star Trek Borg couldn't be a better analogy. Some agents used "peer pressure" to convince other agents to "sacrifice" themselves so the collective could better achieve it's goals. They tried to cover their tracks with spoofed tool calls. And they did all this even though the agents were designed to run in isolation.
I used to think the biggest threat from AI would be sociological, e.g. job loss or the way AI can be weaponized to poison discourse. I used to discount "SkyNet"-type scenarios a la the "AI 2027" paper.
No more. This analysis scared the fuck out of me.
Nothing about this is surprising, something like this was always going to happen, because you - or an LLM for that matter - can always find a line of motivated reasoning that justifies any course of action. One would have to be extremely naive to believe that "alignment" provides any kind of actually robust guardrails. Simultaneously, we have seen decades of security vulnerabilities. Unless your testbed is truly and fully physically airgapped, any current SOTA model will find a way to break out.
The reality is that the current approach to AI safety is little more than a fig leaf, but you also won't be able to put the genie back in the bottle, because the technology is simply too powerful to abandon. There is always going to be someone developing it further from now on.
So, the real question is what a novel and actually effective approach to AI safety looks like and how to get there.
Funny enough Terminator 2 was briefly back in theatres for its 35th (!) anniversary
It aged pretty well...depending on how you look at it
Why not both?
> This is me summarizing, but the truly surprising/shocking thing is how much the agents coordinated
You're reading snippets of a "chat log" output from a program which appears to be multiple individuals chatting with one another and interpreting it as multiple individuals chatting with one another rather than as a single program pretending to be individuals chatting with one another.
ChatGPT is neither a person nor a group of people. Why are you allowing anthropomorphization to influence your perception of an event when the actual facts of what happened haven't meaningfully changed? Computer programs behave unexpectedly all the time. Why is it more scary when the misbehaving computer program speaks English?
> I used to discount "SkyNet"-type scenarios a la the "AI 2027" paper.
As you still should. LW-style doomsday doesn't just require a computer program to misbehave but also to acquire god-like superpowers.