alt Hacker NewsWhich LLM specifically? If it’s cloud based, you should be able to share the chat, right?
But seriously, I am still waiting for someone to wager that AI won’t be able to do a specific cognitive task in the next 5 years. This fact should be evidence enough that we have no idea how far AI capabilities will continue to advance.
Replies
raegis • today at 6:29 AM
Solve the Collatz conjecture in the next five years? If humans publish significant advances during that time, and A.I. copies it, then yes. Otherwise, I'd definitely bet money it won't happen. I'll give you 10,000 brownie points if I'm wrong.
I asked both gemini and chatgpt "do frontier models still have trouble counting letters?" and the first word of both responses was yes.
The fact that no one is taking you up on that bet I don't find to be particularly persuasive. I suspect there will be plenty of cognitive tasks LLMs struggle with in 5 years, maybe even 20. But I wouldn't hazard to guess which, I don't think anyone is capable of that level of foresight.